Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Gurten vs Ried

Austria Austria

OFB Cup 2025/2026 Park21-Arena, Gurten
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Grosse M.
30'
Grosse M.
32'
Wimmleitner F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Ried advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Union Gurten
15%
Draws
32%
Ried
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Gurten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Gurten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Union Gurten are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Union Gurten have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ried, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ried have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Union Gurten Clean Sheet 15%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Gurten Ried
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 OFB Cup
Union Gurten vs Ried
0:1
Jun 29, 2019 Club Friendly
Union Gurten vs Ried
0:3
Jan 23, 2018 Club Friendly
Ried vs Union Gurten
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Gurten Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosse M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Gurten 66 / 100
Ried 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Gurten Ried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Gurten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Gurten scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Ried's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Union Gurten went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Gurten VS Ried
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Gurten

(Home)
04 Sept
Kuchl
0 : 1
Union Gurten
28 Aug
Union Gurten
1 : 1
LASK Linz (Am)
22 Aug
Grodig
1 : 0
Union Gurten
14 Aug
Union Gurten
3 : 1
Vorwarts Steyr
11 Aug
Bad Leonfelden
2 : 5
Union Gurten
Page 1 of 6

Ried

(Away)
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
14 Aug
LASK Linz
4 : 1
Ried
09 Aug
Ried
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Marchfeld Donauauen 6
Jennersdorf 1
Vocklamarkt 0
SW Bregenz 2
Union Gurten 6
Wals-Grunau 2
Parndorf 0
Ried 5
SC Imst 3
Hogo Hertha Wels 4
SC Kalsdorf 0
St. Polten 5
SV Oberwart 7
ATSV Wolfsberger 0
Wacker Innsbruck 0
Rapid Vienna 1
Donaufeld Wien 0
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 4
Retz 0
Stripfing 5
Horn 2
A. Klagenfurt 0
Wiener 0
LASK Linz 4
Lauterach 0
Schwaz 5
Treibach 0
BW Linz 3
Atus Velden 3
Neusiedl 2
Lafnitz 2
Hartberg 5
Kremser 1
Amstetten 2
Tillmitsch 1
First Vienna 3
Reichenau 4
Hohenems 1
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Wolfsberger AC 3
Dornbirn 1
Grazer AK 0
Dietach 0
Salzburg 4
ASKO Oedt 1
A. Salzburg 0
Traiskirchen 0
Tirol 4
Kuchl 2
A. Lustenau 3
Dinamo Helfort 1
Kapfenberg 2
Lendorf 1
SV Donau 2
Hirschwang 1
Altach 4
ASK Voitsberg 3
Austria Vienna 2
SC Weiz 0
Admira 3
Pinzgau Saalfelden 1
Rothis 2
Bischofshofen 0
Sturm Graz 4
1/16-finals
FC Marchfeld Donauauen 0
SW Bregenz 2
Union Gurten 0
Ried 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
St. Polten 3
SV Oberwart 1
Rapid Vienna 2
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 1
Stripfing 3
Horn 0
LASK Linz 2
Schwaz 0
BW Linz 3
Atus Velden 0
Hartberg 3
Amstetten 2
First Vienna 1
Reichenau 0
Wolfsberger AC 6
Dornbirn 1
Salzburg 3
ASKO Oedt 1
Tirol 3
A. Lustenau 0
Kapfenberg 2
SV Donau 1
Altach 3
ASK Voitsberg 1
Admira 4
Rothis 0
Sturm Graz 2
1/8-finals
SW Bregenz 0
Ried 1
St. Polten 0
Rapid Vienna 1
Stripfing 0
LASK Linz 2
BW Linz 3
Hartberg 2
Amstetten 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
Salzburg 3
Tirol 1
Kapfenberg 1
Altach 3
Admira 1
Sturm Graz 2
Quarter-finals
Ried 3
Rapid Vienna 0
LASK Linz 3
BW Linz 2
Wolfsberger AC 0
Salzburg 1
Altach 3
Sturm Graz 1
Semi-finals
Ried 1
LASK Linz 2
Salzburg 0
Altach 1
Final
LASK Linz 4
Altach 2