Sport Picks

Austria

OFB Cup 2025/2026 Park21-Arena

Ried

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Gurten play Ried in the OFB Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Gurten averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Ried averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Union Gurten won 0, Ried won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 26, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Union Gurten and 1.00 for Ried. This points to a Union Gurten double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Union Gurten

15%

Draws

37%

Ried

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Gurten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Union Gurten picked up more points recently compared to Ried.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Union Gurten Clean Sheet 23%

Ried Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Union Gurten	Ried
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	21	11
Draws	2	6
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.81	1.41
Goals Conceded	0.94	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 OFB Cup

Union Gurten vs Ried

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Jun 29, 2019 Club Friendly

Union Gurten vs Ried

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Jan 23, 2018 Club Friendly

Ried vs Union Gurten

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Gurten Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosse M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Gurten 48 / 100

Ried 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Union Gurten Ried

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Gurten or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Gurten attacking → ← attacking Ried

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Gurten scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Ried let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Union Gurten went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ried lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 39

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38