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Union Ksibet Mediouni vs Kalaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Union Ksibet Mediouni advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Union Ksibet Mediouni
15%
Draws
57%
Kalaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kalaa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Ksibet Mediouni a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Kalaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Union Ksibet Mediouni, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Union Ksibet Mediouni Clean Sheet 19%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Ksibet Mediouni Kalaa
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Union Ksibet Mediouni vs Kalaa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Ksibet Mediouni 42 / 100
Kalaa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Ksibet Mediouni Kalaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalaa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Union Ksibet Mediouni scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Kalaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kalaa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Ksibet Mediouni

(Home)
20 Apr
Ahly Sfaxien
3 : 0
Union Ksibet Mediouni
25 Feb
Union Ksibet Mediouni
1 : 0
Kalaa
27 Jan
Gafsa
2 : 1
Union Ksibet Mediouni
22 May
Bembla
2 : 1
Union Ksibet Mediouni
20 Nov
Union Ksibet Mediouni
0 : 2
Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 2

Kalaa

(Away)
04 Oct
Kalaa
0 : 1
JS Kairouan
27 Sept
CO Medenine
1 : 2
Kalaa
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0
Kalaa
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Menzel Kamel -
TBD -
TBD -
Menzel Jemil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
CO Medenine 0
Chebba 1
TBD -
CS Takelsa -
ES Jerba -
TBD -
TBD -
Ksour Essef -
Kerkennah 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Sidi Bouzid 2
Msaken 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
CS Sfaxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Hammam Djerid -
TBD -
TBD -
Ahly Sfaxien -
Union Ksibet Mediouni -
TBD -
Kalaa 3
Ariana 2
Etoile Sahel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bouchamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Sfax Railways -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gafsa -
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
Rejiche 0
Zarzis 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
PS Sakiet Eddaier -
TBD -
TBD -
Bousalem -
Boumerdes -
TBD -
TBD -
Tazarka -
AS Mohamdia -
TBD -
TBD -
CO Transports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Hammam-Lif 2
Rades 1
TBD -
Moknine -
Ain Jalloula -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 1
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Jeunesse Sportive 2
Oued Ellil 0
TBD -
Ouerdanine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Tataouine -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monastir -
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Degueche -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 1
AS Gabes 2
JS Manouba -
TBD -
Korba 3
Djelma 0
Alaouite -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Mdhilla -
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
1/32-finals
Menzel Kamel 1
Menzel Jemil 0
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Chebba 2
CS Takelsa 1
ES Jerba 1
Ksour Essef 0
Kerkennah 2
Sidi Bouzid 1
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
CS Sfaxien -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Hammam Djerid 0
Ahly Sfaxien 1
Union Ksibet Mediouni 1
Kalaa 0
Etoile Sahel -
TBD -
Bouchamma 4
Sfax Railways 1
Ajim Djerba 1
AS Hamma 2
TBD -
Gafsa -
JS Kairouan 0
Zarzis 1
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Bousalem 0
Boumerdes 0
Tazarka 1
AS Mohamdia 2
CO Transports 1
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Hammam-Lif 1
Moknine 2
Ain Jalloula 0
Sporting Ben Arous 1
Jeunesse Sportive 5
Ouerdanine 0
TBD -
US Tataouine -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
Monastir -
Soliman -
TBD -
Degueche 1
AS Gabes 2
JS Manouba 1
Korba 2
Alaouite 2
FC Mdhilla 1
Ben Guerdane -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
1/16-finals
Menzel Kamel 1
Olympique Beja 3
Chebba 0
ES Jerba 1
Kerkennah 2
Esperance Tunis 1
CS Sfaxien 0
AS Marsa 1
Ahly Sfaxien 3
Union Ksibet Mediouni 0
Etoile Sahel 1
Bouchamma 0
AS Hamma 0
Gafsa 1
Zarzis 0
Stade Tunisien 3
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Tazarka 0
AS Mohamdia 1
CA Bizertin 2
Moknine 2
Sporting Ben Arous 4
Jeunesse Sportive 1
US Tataouine 0
Metlaoui 2
Monastir 3
Soliman 0
AS Gabes 2
Korba 3
Alaouite 0
Ben Guerdane 1
Club Africain 2
1/8-finals
Olympique Beja 2
ES Jerba 1
Kerkennah 0
AS Marsa 2
Ahly Sfaxien 0
Etoile Sahel 1
Gafsa 1
Stade Tunisien 6
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
CA Bizertin 2
Sporting Ben Arous 3
Jeunesse Sportive 2
Monastir 2
AS Gabes 0
Korba 1
Club Africain 2
Quarter-finals
Olympique Beja 3
AS Marsa 2
Etoile Sahel 2
Stade Tunisien 4
CA Bizertin 1
Sporting Ben Arous 0
Monastir 1
Club Africain 2
Semi-finals
Olympique Beja 1
Stade Tunisien 4
CA Bizertin 2
Club Africain 1
Final
Stade Tunisien 2
CA Bizertin 0