Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera

Union La Calera

0 - 2

San Felipe

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Pastene A.

24'

Perales V.

Assist: Riveros B.

47'

Sub

Andia Leon Y. W. In: Palma N.

Out: Andia Leon Y. W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with San Felipe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Union La Calera

39%

Draws

31%

San Felipe

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Union La Calera carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Union La Calera have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor San Felipe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%

San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Union La Calera	San Felipe
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa Chile

San Felipe vs Union La Calera

1:1

Jun 21, 2026 Copa Chile

Union La Calera vs San Felipe

0:2

Aug 27, 2017 Liga de Ascenso

San Felipe vs Union La Calera

0:2

Apr 10, 2017 Liga de Ascenso

Union La Calera vs San Felipe

2:2

Oct 16, 2016 Liga de Ascenso

San Felipe vs Union La Calera

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

San Felipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Perales V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Riveros B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 41 / 100

San Felipe 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Union La Calera San Felipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union La Calera scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

San Felipe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Union La Calera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS San Felipe

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union La Calera

(Home)

12 Jul

Coquimbo

1 : 1

Union La Calera

08 Jul

Union La Calera

0 : 1

Coquimbo

04 Jul

San Felipe

1 : 1

Union La Calera

02 Jul

U. De Chile

0 : 1

Union La Calera

28 Jun

Union La Calera

4 : 0

S. Wanderers

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San Felipe

(Away)

04 Jul

San Felipe

1 : 1

Union La Calera

28 Jun

U. De Chile

2 : 0

San Felipe

21 Jun

Union La Calera

0 : 2

San Felipe

08 Jun

U. Espanola

2 : 2

San Felipe

30 May

San Felipe

1 : 0

D. Puerto Montt

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