Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union La Calera vs San Felipe

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Pastene A.
24' Event
Perales V.
Assist: Riveros B.
47'
Sub
Andia Leon Y. W. In: Palma N.
Out: Andia Leon Y. W.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Chile game between Union La Calera and San Felipe finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Felipe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union La Calera
39%
Draws
31%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Union La Calera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera San Felipe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Copa Chile
San Felipe vs Union La Calera
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs San Felipe
0:2
Aug 27, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Union La Calera
0:2
Apr 10, 2017 Liga de Ascenso
Union La Calera vs San Felipe
2:2
Oct 16, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Union La Calera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Felipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Perales V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riveros B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 41 / 100
San Felipe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera San Felipe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Felipe let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Union La Calera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS San Felipe
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica650114:915
2Everton622210:98
3San Luis613211:106
4Copiapo61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta651012:516
2Cobreloa62227:68
3La Serena62137:107
4Cobresal60242:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz641111:613
2A. Italiano64029:712
3Palestino631212:910
4Magallanes60065:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Concepcion641110:613
2D. Puerto Montt63128:610
3Huachipato62047:96
4Deportes Temuco61234:85