Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Atletico F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Magdalena host Atletico F.C. in the Primera B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Atletico F.C. have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Union Magdalena have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Union Magdalena slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Union Magdalena. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Union Magdalena
35%
Draws
24%
Atletico F.C.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Union Magdalena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union Magdalena's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Atletico F.C.
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Union Magdalena
1:3
Jun 5, 2025 Copa Colombia
Union Magdalena vs Atletico F.C.
0:0
Sep 17, 2024 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Union Magdalena
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Atletico F.C.
2:0
Oct 9, 2021 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Atletico F.C.
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 67 / 100
Atletico F.C. 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Atletico F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Magdalena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico F.C. conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Union Magdalena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Atletico F.C.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena

(Home)
15 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
11 Oct
Union Magdalena
2 : 2
Leones
07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3
Union Magdalena
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

Atletico F.C.

(Away)
16 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
0 : 1
Atletico F.C.
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 13 7 4 2 17:8 25
2 Real Cundinamarca 13 7 3 3 19:11 24
3 Tigres Futbol Club 13 6 5 2 16:7 23
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
5 Patriotas 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
6 Atletico F.C. 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
7 Cartagena 13 4 5 4 22:17 17
8 Quindio 13 4 5 4 11:13 17
9 Real Santander 13 3 7 3 15:19 16
10 Inter Palmira 13 4 4 5 10:14 16
11 Envigado 13 2 8 3 14:13 14
12 Union Magdalena 13 3 5 5 13:15 14
13 Orsomarso 13 3 5 5 9:12 14
14 Bogota 13 3 5 5 9:13 14
15 Leones 13 3 5 5 11:19 14
16 Barranquilla 13 3 4 6 17:20 13
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)