Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Arrieta G.
17' Event
Ortiz H.
30'
Vallejo J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Union Magdalena and Boca Juniors de Cali finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boca Juniors de Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Union Magdalena
22%
Draws
18%
Boca Juniors de Cali
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Magdalena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Magdalena a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Boca Juniors de Cali
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
0:2
Oct 22, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:0
May 12, 2024 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Union Magdalena
0:0
Feb 22, 2023 Copa Colombia
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
3:0
Feb 16, 2023 Copa Colombia
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Union Magdalena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Magdalena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boca Juniors de Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 68 / 100
Boca Juniors de Cali 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Boca Juniors de Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Boca Juniors de Cali has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Union Magdalena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Boca Juniors de Cali
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena

(Home)
21 May
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Bogota
17 May
Barranquilla
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
12 May
Union Magdalena
3 : 0
Cartagena
09 May
Cartagena
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
04 May
Union Magdalena
2 : 0
Barranquilla
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Boca Juniors de Cali

(Away)
21 May
Bucaramanga
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
15 May
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 5
Dep. Cali
12 May
Real Santander
0 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
08 May
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Alianza
18 Apr
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)