Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Magdalena play Boca Juniors de Cali in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Magdalena averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Boca Juniors de Cali averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Union Magdalena won 3, Boca Juniors de Cali won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Union Magdalena and 1.19 for Boca Juniors de Cali. This points to a Union Magdalena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Union Magdalena
27%
Draws
29%
Boca Juniors de Cali
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Union Magdalena picked up more points recently compared to Boca Juniors de Cali.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 20%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Boca Juniors de Cali
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
0:2
Oct 22, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:0
May 12, 2024 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Union Magdalena
0:0
Feb 22, 2023 Copa Colombia
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
3:0
Feb 16, 2023 Copa Colombia
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Union Magdalena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Magdalena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Boca Juniors de Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 44 / 100
Boca Juniors de Cali 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Boca Juniors de Cali

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Magdalena or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Magdalena attacking → ← attacking Boca Juniors de Cali

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Boca Juniors de Cali let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Union Magdalena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Boca Juniors de Cali lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 38
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237