Sport Picks
Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 
AI Match Summary
Union Magdalena host Orsomarso in the Primera B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Union Magdalena at 1.88 goals for, 1.13 against; Orsomarso at 0.5 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Union Magdalena have won 4 to Orsomarso's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.81, favoring Union Magdalena. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Union Magdalena have won more games recently than Orsomarso.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Union Magdalena taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Union Magdalena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Orsomarso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Union Magdalena scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Orsomarso let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Union Magdalena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Union Magdalena
(Home)Orsomarso
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Patriotas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ind. Yumbo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Envigado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Bogota | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Orsomarso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Quindio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 10 | Tigres Futbol Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 | Real Cundinamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Barranquilla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Palmira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico F.C. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
