Sport Picks
Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 
Match Events
16'
16'
Mera D.
29'
29'
Gomez K. M.
46'
46'
Sub
Gomez K. M. In: Contreras J.
Out: Gomez K. M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
35%
12%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Magdalena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Magdalena have won more games recently than Orsomarso.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Union Magdalena taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Union Magdalena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Orsomarso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Union Magdalena
0:1
Aug 6, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso
3:0
Feb 16, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Union Magdalena
1:3
Oct 18, 2021 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Union Magdalena
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Magdalena 68 / 100
Orsomarso 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Magdalena Orsomarso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Magdalena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Magdalena has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Union Magdalena scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Orsomarso let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Union Magdalena VS Orsomarso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Magdalena
(Home) 07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1 Union Magdalena
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3 Union Magdalena
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2 Quindio
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 3
Orsomarso
(Away) 06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Quindio
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0 Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0 Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1 Orsomarso
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
