Sport Picks
Union Magdalena vs Quindio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 
Match Events
17'
17'
Molina F.
30'
30'
Sandoval J.
37'
37'
Sub
Mosquera F. In: Salazar K.
Out: Mosquera F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Union Magdalena and Quindio finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quindio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Quindio come out ahead of Union Magdalena on wins alone.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Union Magdalena taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%
Quindio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Quindio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Quindio
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Union Magdalena
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Union Magdalena
1:2
Jun 1, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Quindio
0:0
May 26, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Union Magdalena
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Magdalena Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Quindio Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mosquera F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Magdalena 59 / 100
Quindio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Magdalena Quindio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Magdalena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Union Magdalena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Union Magdalena scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Quindio has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Union Magdalena VS Quindio
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Magdalena
(Home) 15 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
11 Oct
Union Magdalena
2 : 2 Leones
07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1 Union Magdalena
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3 Union Magdalena
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
11 Oct
Union Magdalena
2 : 2 Leones
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 3
Quindio
(Away) 16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1 Cartagena
11 Oct
Barranquilla
4 : 1 Quindio
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Quindio
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0 Bogota
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Barranquilla
4 : 1 Quindio
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Quindio
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0 Quindio
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2 Quindio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Cartagena | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Envigado | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 15:13 | 17 |
| 9 | Quindio | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Real Santander | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Inter Palmira | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:12 | 14 |
| 14 | Bogota | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:13 | 14 |
| 15 | Leones | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
