Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Minas vs AD Tarma

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Union Minas
20%
Draws
28%
AD Tarma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Tarma haven't matched Union Minas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Union Minas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Union Minas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 20%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Minas AD Tarma
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.56 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union Minas vs AD Tarma
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Minas 85 / 100
AD Tarma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Minas AD Tarma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Union Minas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Union Minas found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: AD Tarma conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: AD Tarma has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Minas VS AD Tarma
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Minas

(Home)
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1
Ayacucho
Page 1 of 5

AD Tarma

(Away)
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
AD Tarma
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3
Sport Huancayo
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0
Moquegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)