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Union Minas vs Ayacucho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Union Minas Logo

Union Minas

3 - 1
FT
Ayacucho Logo

Ayacucho

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Infante M.
44'
Chavez D.
46'
Sub
Lopez S. In: Ramirez D.
Out: Lopez S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Union Minas and Ayacucho finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Minas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Union Minas
15%
Draws
32%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Minas come out ahead of Ayacucho on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Union Minas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Minas Ayacucho
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Union Minas
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Ayacucho
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Union Minas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Alania D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trujillo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ayacucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Barboza S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Minas 77 / 100
Ayacucho 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Minas Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Minas scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Ayacucho conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Union Minas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Minas VS Ayacucho
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Minas

(Home)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
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Ayacucho

(Away)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)