Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Infante M.
44'
44'
Chavez D.
46'
46'
Sub
Lopez S. In: Ramirez D.
Out: Lopez S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 2 game between Union Minas and Ayacucho finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Minas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Minas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Minas's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Ayacucho have produced (0.89).
- Win probability leans Union Minas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Minas | Ayacucho |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Ayacucho
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Union Minas
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Minas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alania D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Trujillo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ayacucho Compare
Top Goalscorer Barboza S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Minas 95 / 100
Ayacucho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Minas Ayacucho
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Ayacucho conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Union Minas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ayacucho lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Minas VS Ayacucho
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Minas
(Home) 15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1 Ayacucho
07 Aug
Binacional
1 : 8 Union Minas
24 Jul
Union Minas
3 : 0 Estudiantil CNI
19 Jul
Tacna Heroica
2 : 1 Union Minas
26 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 1 Union Minas
Page 1 of 5
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1 Ayacucho
24 Jul
Union Minas
3 : 0 Estudiantil CNI
21 Jun
Union Minas
1 : 2 Sport Huancayo
12 Jun
Union Minas
0 : 0 AD Tarma
23 May
Union Minas
0 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 3
Ayacucho
(Away) 15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1 Ayacucho
09 Aug
Ayacucho
1 : 0 Estudiantil CNI
02 Aug
Tacna Heroica
2 : 0 Ayacucho
26 Jul
Ayacucho
2 : 0 Santos FC
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2 Ayacucho
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1 Ayacucho
02 Aug
Tacna Heroica
2 : 0 Ayacucho
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2 Ayacucho
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1 Ayacucho
01 Jun
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 0 Ayacucho
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 14:3 | 25 |
| 2 | Llacuabamba | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Pirata | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 4 | Carlos Mannucci | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Cesar Vallejo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 6 | U. San Martin | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 7 | ADA Jaen | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:24 | 7 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tacna Heroica | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Comerciantes FC | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Ayacucho | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Union Minas | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 20:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Binacional | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9:42 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
