Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Minas vs Comerciantes FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Minas play Comerciantes FC in the Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Minas averaged 1 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Comerciantes FC averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Union Minas won 0, Comerciantes FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Union Minas and 0.81 for Comerciantes FC. This points to a Comerciantes FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union Minas
35%
Draws
35%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Minas picked up more points recently compared to Comerciantes FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 26%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Minas Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Comerciantes FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Minas 32 / 100
Comerciantes FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Minas Comerciantes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Comerciantes FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Minas attacking → ← attacking Comerciantes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Minas scored in 47% of their last 17 games.

Comerciantes FC let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Union Minas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Comerciantes FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 45
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ayacucho00000:00
2Alianza Huanuco00000:00
3Sport Huancayo 200000:00
4Binacional00000:00
5Tacna Heroica00000:00
6Santos FC00000:00
7Comerciantes FC00000:00
8Estudiantil CNI00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126