Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Omaha vs Central Valley Fuego

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Werner Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Omaha play Central Valley Fuego in the USL League One 2024. Union Omaha are favorites here. Recently, Union Omaha averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Central Valley Fuego averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Union Omaha won 5, Central Valley Fuego won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Union Omaha and 0.94 for Central Valley Fuego. This points to a Union Omaha double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union Omaha
39%
Draws
31%
Central Valley Fuego
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Omaha has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Central Valley Fuego.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League One 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 20%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Omaha Central Valley Fuego
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Central Valley Fuego
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 USL Cup
Central Valley Fuego vs Union Omaha
0:1
May 29, 2024 USL Cup
Union Omaha vs Central Valley Fuego
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Union Omaha
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Central Valley Fuego
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jiba R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariona J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Omaha 31 / 100
Central Valley Fuego 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Omaha Central Valley Fuego

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Omaha scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Central Valley Fuego let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Union Omaha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Central Valley Fuego lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Omaha VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118