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Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Werner Park, Papillion, NE
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Chattanooga Red Wolves have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Union Omaha have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Union Omaha slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Union Omaha. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Union Omaha
20%
Draws
29%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Omaha have won more games recently than Chattanooga Red Wolves.
  • Win probability leans Union Omaha's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Union Omaha have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chattanooga Red Wolves, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 20%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Omaha Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha
1:3
May 24, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:2
Jul 28, 2024 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Omaha 49 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Omaha Chattanooga Red Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union Omaha scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Chattanooga Red Wolves let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Union Omaha went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Omaha VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Omaha

(Home)
24 Oct
Forward Madison
0 : 0
Union Omaha
17 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1
Union Omaha
10 Oct
Union Omaha
0 : 1
Fort Wayne
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Away)
24 Oct
New York Cosmos
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
18 Oct
Spokane Velocity
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Charlotte Independence -
FC Naples -
Forward Madison -
Spokane Velocity -
Union Omaha -
Chattanooga Red Wolves -
Athletic Club Boise -
One Knoxville -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -