Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Omaha vs FC Naples

USA USA

USL League One Werner Park
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Arevalo W.
46'
Sub
Lawrence C. In: Jiba R.
Out: Lawrence C.
46'
Sub
Osorio J. In: Gay H.
Out: Osorio J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Union Omaha and FC Naples finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Omaha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Union Omaha
22%
Draws
18%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Omaha come out ahead of FC Naples on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Union Omaha's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 20%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Omaha FC Naples
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs FC Naples
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Union Omaha
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs FC Naples
2:1
May 25, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Union Omaha
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jiba R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer Arevalo W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Omaha 58 / 100
FC Naples 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Omaha FC Naples

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Naples's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Union Omaha found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Naples's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Union Omaha VS FC Naples
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
5Forward Madison1482426:1426
6AV Alta FC1767423:1925
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1655625:2620
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310