Sport Picks
Union Omaha vs New York Cosmos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Werner Park, Papillion, NE 
Match Events
9'
9'
Vargas M.
Assist: Wootton L.
24'
24'
Wootton L.
35'
35'
Guenzatti S.
Assist: Spengler A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- New York Cosmos haven't matched Union Omaha's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Union Omaha's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 16%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Omaha | New York Cosmos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs New York Cosmos
1:1
May 27, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Union Omaha
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Vargas M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
New York Cosmos Compare
Top Goalscorer Guenzatti S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Omaha 84 / 100
New York Cosmos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Omaha New York Cosmos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Omaha's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
New York Cosmos has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Union Omaha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Union Omaha VS New York Cosmos
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Omaha
(Home) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 3
New York Cosmos
(Away) 03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4 New York Cosmos
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 3 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
