Sport Picks
Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
USA
USL League One Werner Park, Papillion, NE 
Match Events
28'
28'
Ors Navarro S.
Assist: Guediri S.
34'
34'
Gomez A.
Assist: Ors Navarro S.
36'
36'
O'Malley O.
AI Match Summary
Union Omaha in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Omaha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Union Omaha lately — more wins on the board than Richmond Kickers.
- Model gives Union Omaha a 74% chance of winning this.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 20%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Omaha | Richmond Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
5:1
Apr 18, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha
2:1
Jun 26, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
3:4
Apr 9, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Union Omaha
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Richmond Kickers
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Ors Navarro S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Richmond Kickers Compare
Top Goalscorer Bolduc M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Omaha 85 / 100
Richmond Kickers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Omaha Richmond Kickers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Omaha's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Richmond Kickers conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Union Omaha stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Omaha VS Richmond Kickers
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Omaha
(Home) 20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 3
Richmond Kickers
(Away) 19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2 Richmond Kickers
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
16 Aug
Union Omaha
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
25 Jul
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Richmond Kickers
16 Jul
Forward Madison
4 : 0 Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 50:30 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 63:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 50:26 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36:33 | 40 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:35 | 37 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30:36 | 33 |
| 10 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33:39 | 30 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29:43 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:48 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
