Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Plaani vs PEPO

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Urheilupuisto N, Heinola
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Junnikkala A.
34'
Afila V.
65'
Sub
Suoraniemi S. In: Jammeh I.
Out: Suoraniemi S.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between Union Plaani and PEPO finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PEPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Union Plaani
39%
Draws
30%
PEPO
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • PEPO carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Union Plaani Clean Sheet 10%
PEPO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Plaani PEPO
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani vs PEPO
0:2
May 23, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
PEPO vs Union Plaani
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Plaani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

PEPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Junnikkala A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salminen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Plaani 30 / 100
PEPO 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Plaani PEPO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PEPO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Union Plaani scored in 71% of their last 21 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Union Plaani has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Plaani VS PEPO
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Plaani

(Home)
31 Jul
Union Plaani
0 : 2
PEPO
24 Jul
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
0 : 1
Union Plaani
18 Jul
Union Plaani
3 : 6
Atlantis
11 Jul
MyPa
2 : 0
Union Plaani
04 Jul
Union Plaani
2 : 1
PuiU Helsinki
Page 1 of 5

PEPO

(Away)
31 Jul
Union Plaani
0 : 2
PEPO
24 Jul
PEPO
3 : 2
PuiU Helsinki
18 Jul
Kiffen
2 : 0
PEPO
11 Jul
PEPO
2 : 0
HPS
04 Jul
Atlantis
5 : 1
PEPO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 15 9 3 3 32:22 30
2 PEPO 15 8 4 3 25:20 28
3 HIFK 15 7 5 3 33:21 26
4 HPS 15 7 3 5 36:31 24
5 Atlantis 15 7 2 6 47:36 23
6 Lahden Reipas 15 7 2 6 32:28 23
7 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 15 4 7 4 26:22 19
8 PuiU Helsinki 15 4 3 8 22:31 15
9 MyPa 15 3 3 9 16:32 12
10 Union Plaani 15 2 2 11 15:41 8
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)