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Union Pro vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2014/2015 game between Union Pro and Montebelluna finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Pro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Union Pro
15%
Draws
21%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Pro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Union Pro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Union Pro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Union Pro Clean Sheet 20%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Pro Montebelluna
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Union Pro vs Montebelluna
3:1
Nov 2, 2014 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Union Pro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Pro 85 / 100
Montebelluna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Pro Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Pro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Pro found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Montebelluna has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Union Pro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montebelluna
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Pro

(Home)
10 May
Arzignano
1 : 2
Union Pro
03 May
Union Pro
0 : 1
AC Belluno
26 Apr
Mezzocorona
0 : 5
Union Pro
19 Apr
Union Pro
2 : 1
Mori
12 Apr
Fontanafredda
0 : 1
Union Pro
Page 1 of 6

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padova 34 27 4 3 77:30 85
2 Altovicentino 34 21 7 6 63:34 70
3 Sacilese 34 18 8 8 62:31 62
4 AC Belluno 34 16 11 7 57:38 59
5 Arzignano 34 15 11 8 53:39 56
6 Union Pro 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
7 Clodiense 34 13 10 11 48:47 49
8 Montebelluna 34 12 11 11 45:49 47
9 Union Feltre 34 11 12 11 45:42 45
10 Fontanafredda 34 12 8 14 50:49 44
11 Legnago Salus 34 11 10 13 50:55 43
12 Tamai 34 9 14 11 45:38 41
13 Giorgione 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 USD Dro 34 7 14 13 37:50 35
15 Triestina 34 6 16 12 41:51 34
16 Kras 34 8 9 17 41:58 33
17 Mori 34 4 7 23 31:69 19
18 Mezzocorona 34 3 7 24 20:79 12
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2014/2015 (Play Out)