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Union Raiba Ruden vs Lienz

Austria Austria

Karnten 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2011/2012 game between Union Raiba Ruden and Lienz finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Raiba Ruden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Union Raiba Ruden
6%
Draws
4%
Lienz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Raiba Ruden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lienz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union Raiba Ruden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Union Raiba Ruden Clean Sheet 10%
Lienz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Raiba Ruden Lienz
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 24 23
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 5.5 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 Karnten
Union Raiba Ruden vs Lienz
1:1
Aug 18, 2012 Karnten
Lienz vs Union Raiba Ruden
2:2
Mar 24, 2012 Karnten
Union Raiba Ruden vs Lienz
3:1
Aug 6, 2011 Karnten
Lienz vs Union Raiba Ruden
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Raiba Ruden 83 / 100
Lienz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Raiba Ruden Lienz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lienz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Lienz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Union Raiba Ruden's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Union Raiba Ruden VS Lienz
0 Goals Scored 0.25
5.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%