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Union Rochefortoise vs Habay La Neuve Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cornet M.
43' Event
El Biache N.
58'

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between Union Rochefortoise and Habay La Neuve finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Rochefortoise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Union Rochefortoise
35%
Draws
32%
Habay La Neuve
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Union Rochefortoise carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Union Rochefortoise taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Union Rochefortoise have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union Rochefortoise Clean Sheet 20%
Habay La Neuve Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Rochefortoise Habay La Neuve
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Habay La Neuve
4:2
Apr 25, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Habay La Neuve
4:1
Mar 15, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Union Rochefortoise
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Union Rochefortoise
2:5
Aug 27, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Habay La Neuve
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Rochefortoise Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornet M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Biache N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Habay La Neuve Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Rochefortoise 42 / 100
Habay La Neuve 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Rochefortoise Habay La Neuve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Rochefortoise found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Habay La Neuve has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Union Rochefortoise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Rochefortoise VS Habay La Neuve
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Rochefortoise

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1
Union Rochefortoise
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1
Charleroi B
12 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 2
Onhaye
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Habay La Neuve

(Away)
03 Oct
Tubize-Braine
1 : 0
Habay La Neuve
30 Sept
Charleroi B
0 : 0
Habay La Neuve
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2
Habay La Neuve
20 Sept
Habay La Neuve
2 : 1
Flenu
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virton 10 7 0 3 18:13 45
2 Renaissance Mons 10 6 3 1 19:8 43
3 Tubize-Braine 10 4 4 2 13:11 40
4 Meux 10 4 1 5 15:16 31
5 Habay La Neuve 10 3 1 6 9:15 28
6 Union Rochefortoise 10 1 1 8 12:23 20
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