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Union Rochefortoise vs St. Liege U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Vanhecke T.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF game between Union Rochefortoise and St. Liege U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Rochefortoise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union Rochefortoise
30%
Draws
23%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Rochefortoise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Rochefortoise carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union Rochefortoise's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Union Rochefortoise here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Union Rochefortoise Clean Sheet 20%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Rochefortoise St. Liege U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs St. Liege U23
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Union Rochefortoise
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs St. Liege U23
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Union Rochefortoise
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs St. Liege U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Rochefortoise Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanhecke T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Liege U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Rochefortoise 49 / 100
St. Liege U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Rochefortoise St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Rochefortoise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Rochefortoise found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

St. Liege U23 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Union Rochefortoise stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Rochefortoise VS St. Liege U23
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Rochefortoise

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1
Union Rochefortoise
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1
Charleroi B
12 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 2
Onhaye
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St. Liege U23

(Away)
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meux 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 RWDM Brussels 7 5 1 1 11:6 16
3 Union Rochefortoise 7 4 2 1 14:7 14
4 Tubize-Braine 7 4 2 1 10:8 14
5 St. Gilloise 2 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Renaissance Mons 7 3 1 3 16:13 10
7 Charleroi B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
8 OC Charleroi 7 2 2 3 9:16 8
9 St. Liege U23 7 2 1 4 8:6 7
10 Onhaye 7 2 0 5 9:16 6
11 Habay La Neuve 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
12 Flenu 7 0 1 6 8:21 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)