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Union Rochefortoise vs Tubize-Braine

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Crame T.
49' Event
Nadrani Z.
59' Event
Nadrani Z.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between Union Rochefortoise and Tubize-Braine finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tubize-Braine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Union Rochefortoise
39%
Draws
30%
Tubize-Braine
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tubize-Braine come out ahead of Union Rochefortoise on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tubize-Braine have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union Rochefortoise Clean Sheet 20%
Tubize-Braine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Rochefortoise Tubize-Braine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Tubize-Braine vs Union Rochefortoise
3:2
Mar 7, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Tubize-Braine
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Tubize-Braine
1:5
Sep 10, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Tubize-Braine vs Union Rochefortoise
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs Tubize-Braine
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Rochefortoise Compare

Top Goalscorer Perseo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tubize-Braine Compare

Top Goalscorer Crame T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nadrani Z.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Rochefortoise 32 / 100
Tubize-Braine 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Rochefortoise Tubize-Braine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Rochefortoise scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Tubize-Braine has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Union Rochefortoise remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Rochefortoise VS Tubize-Braine
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tubize-Braine22145349:2047
2Virton22145361:3547
3Renaissance Mons22135442:1744
4Meux22106638:2836
5Habay La Neuve22106638:3536
6Union Rochefortoise2294933:4031
7Charleroi B22931036:3830
8Stockay-Warfusee22751022:3526
9St. Gilloise 222731236:4524
10Namur22441430:5016
11Crossing Schaerbeek22441424:4416
12St. Liege U2322361325:4715