Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union San Martin vs Deportivo Maristas

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Fernandez C.
47' Event
Cuno D.
90' Event
Vera J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Deportivo Maristas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Union San Martin
11%
Draws
9%
Deportivo Maristas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Union San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Maristas haven't matched Union San Martin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Union San Martin's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Union San Martin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Maristas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Union San Martin Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Maristas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union San Martin Deportivo Maristas
Matches Played 11 8
Wins 3 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 Copa Peru
Union San Martin vs Deportivo Maristas
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Maristas Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuno D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union San Martin 75 / 100
Deportivo Maristas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union San Martin Deportivo Maristas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Maristas conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Union San Martin scored in 73% of their last 11 outings.

Solid form: Union San Martin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union San Martin VS Deportivo Maristas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union San Martin

(Home)
17 Nov
Union San Martin
5 : 2
Estrella Azul
14 Nov
Union San Martin
4 : 1
Parachique
10 Nov
Union San Martin
0 : 2
AD Tarma
07 Nov
Union San Martin
0 : 3
Credicoop San Cristobal
03 Nov
Union San Martin
1 : 1
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Page 1 of 3

Deportivo Maristas

(Away)
22 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
5 : 0
Deportivo Maristas
17 Nov
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Deportivo Maristas
14 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2 : 2
Deportivo Maristas
10 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Deportivo Maristas
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AD Tarma742116:914
2Credicoop San Cristobal734013:613
3Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)734013:713
4Los Caimanes72417:810
5Deportivo Maristas723211:119
6Union San Martin722311:128
7Parachique712411:165
8Estrella Azul70164:171
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)