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Union San Martin vs Los Caimanes Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Union San Martin
30%
Draws
29%
Los Caimanes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Los Caimanes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union San Martin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Los Caimanes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Union San Martin Clean Sheet 19%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union San Martin Los Caimanes
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 3 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Copa Peru
Union San Martin vs Los Caimanes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union San Martin 40 / 100
Los Caimanes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union San Martin Los Caimanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union San Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Los Caimanes conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Union San Martin scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Union San Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Union San Martin VS Los Caimanes
1.57 Goals Scored 0.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 2.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union San Martin

(Home)
17 Nov
Union San Martin
5 : 2
Estrella Azul
14 Nov
Union San Martin
4 : 1
Parachique
10 Nov
Union San Martin
0 : 2
AD Tarma
07 Nov
Union San Martin
0 : 3
Credicoop San Cristobal
03 Nov
Union San Martin
1 : 1
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
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Los Caimanes

(Away)
22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1
Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0
Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Tarma 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Credicoop San Cristobal 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
3 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 7 3 4 0 13:7 13
4 Los Caimanes 7 2 4 1 7:8 10
5 Deportivo Maristas 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
6 Union San Martin 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
7 Parachique 7 1 2 4 11:16 5
8 Estrella Azul 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)