Sport Picks
Union Sur Yaiza vs Tamaraceite - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
80'
80'
Garcia D.
84'
84'
Amadoz J.
84'
84'
Amadoz J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Union Sur Yaiza and Tamaraceite finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tamaraceite.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tamaraceite carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Union Sur Yaiza a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 14%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Sur Yaiza | Tamaraceite |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Tamaraceite
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Union Sur Yaiza
4:0
Apr 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Tamaraceite
5:0
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Union Sur Yaiza
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Sur Yaiza Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45
Tamaraceite Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Sur Yaiza 66 / 100
Tamaraceite 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Sur Yaiza Tamaraceite
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Tamaraceite's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Tamaraceite lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Union Sur Yaiza found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Union Sur Yaiza VS Tamaraceite
0.8 Goals Scored 2
1.2 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Sur Yaiza
(Home) 03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
Page 1 of 3
Tamaraceite
(Away) 04 Oct
Tamaraceite
1 : 0 Antoniano
27 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
6 : 2 Tamaraceite
20 Sept
Tamaraceite
1 : 3 Recreativo Huelva
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1 Sevilla B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
6 : 2 Tamaraceite
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5 Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2 Tamaraceite
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1 Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
