Sport Picks
Union Sur Yaiza vs Telde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
44'
44'
Szczesnowicz L.
45'
45'
Trujillo A.
75'
75'
Hernandez A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Union Sur Yaiza and Telde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Sur Yaiza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Sur Yaiza come out ahead of Telde on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Union Sur Yaiza taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 20%
Telde Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Sur Yaiza | Telde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Telde
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Union Sur Yaiza
2:1
Apr 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Telde
3:0
Feb 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Telde
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Sur Yaiza Compare
Top Goalscorer Szczesnowicz L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Telde Compare
Top Goalscorer Trujillo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Sur Yaiza 49 / 100
Telde 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Sur Yaiza Telde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Telde conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Telde lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Union Sur Yaiza's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Union Sur Yaiza VS Telde
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Sur Yaiza
(Home) 03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
Page 1 of 3
Telde
(Away) 08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3 San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
02 Apr
Real Union Tenerife
3 : 0 Telde
08 Mar
Panaderia
1 : 0 Telde
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
