Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Touarga vs Difaa El Jadidi

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Prince Moulay Hassan
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Dahmani Y.
Assist: Essadak H.
60'
Sub
Hilali M. In: Ennakouss A.
Out: Hilali M.
60'
Sub
Sabik I. In: Da Costa R.
Out: Sabik I.

AI Match Summary

Difaa El Jadidi in this Botola Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Difaa El Jadidi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Union Touarga
30%
Draws
34%
Difaa El Jadidi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Touarga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Touarga haven't matched Difaa El Jadidi's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Union Touarga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 20%
Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Touarga Difaa El Jadidi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Difaa El Jadidi
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Union Touarga
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadidi vs Union Touarga
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Difaa El Jadidi
2:2
Jan 29, 2023 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Difaa El Jadidi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahmani Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Difaa El Jadidi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ennakouss A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Touarga 36 / 100
Difaa El Jadidi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Touarga Difaa El Jadidi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Touarga scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Difaa El Jadidi let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Union Touarga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Touarga VS Difaa El Jadidi
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maghreb Fez301611340:1759
2Berkane30169544:2757
3Raja Casablanca30168639:1956
4FAR Rabat301316145:2255
5Wydad Athletic301341339:3343
6Difaa El Jadidi30913830:3440
7IR Tanger30912927:3139
8FUS Rabat309101131:3637
9Kawkab Marrakech308121027:2636
10COD Meknes30991224:3336
11Renaissance Zemamra30891328:3733
12Hassania Agadir30891327:3933
13Union Touarga306131132:4031
14Dcheira30791429:4030
15Yacoub El Mansour30791434:4430
16Olympique de Safi303131424:4222