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Union Touarga vs IR Tanger Prediction & H2H Stats

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
El Bellali E.
37'
Ait Dani S.
61'
Konan K.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro 2025/2026 game between Union Touarga and IR Tanger finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Touarga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Union Touarga
20%
Draws
40%
IR Tanger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Union Touarga haven't matched IR Tanger's recent run of results.
  • Union Touarga are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 20%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Touarga IR Tanger
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs IR Tanger
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Union Touarga
1:1
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
IR Tanger vs Union Touarga
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Union Touarga
0:1
Mar 19, 2025 Excellence Cup
Union Touarga vs IR Tanger
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Tebily S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

IR Tanger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Touarga 42 / 100
IR Tanger 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Touarga IR Tanger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Union Touarga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Union Touarga scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

IR Tanger has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Union Touarga VS IR Tanger
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Touarga

(Home)
26 Sept
Union Touarga
2 : 1
FUS Rabat
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Wydad Athletic
1 : 2
Union Touarga
02 Jul
Union Touarga
1 : 0
IR Tanger
Page 1 of 6

IR Tanger

(Away)
24 Sept
Amal Tiznit
1 : 3
IR Tanger
19 Sept
IR Tanger
1 : 0
Widad Temara
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
IR Tanger
05 Jul
IR Tanger
2 : 1
COD Meknes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Main)