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Union Touarga vs IR Tanger

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Prince Moulay Hassan
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
El Bellali E.
37'
Ait Dani S.
61'
Konan K.

AI Match Summary

The Botola Pro game between Union Touarga and IR Tanger finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Touarga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union Touarga
39%
Draws
31%
IR Tanger
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Touarga haven't matched IR Tanger's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Botola Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 68%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Touarga IR Tanger
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs IR Tanger
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Union Touarga
1:1
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
IR Tanger vs Union Touarga
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Union Touarga
0:1
Mar 19, 2025 Excellence Cup
Union Touarga vs IR Tanger
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Tebily S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

IR Tanger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Touarga 41 / 100
IR Tanger 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Touarga IR Tanger

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IR Tanger conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Union Touarga scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Union Touarga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Touarga VS IR Tanger
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maghreb Fez301611340:1759
2Berkane30169544:2757
3Raja Casablanca30168639:1956
4FAR Rabat301316145:2255
5Wydad Athletic301341339:3343
6Difaa El Jadidi30913830:3440
7IR Tanger30912927:3139
8FUS Rabat309101131:3637
9Kawkab Marrakech308121027:2636
10COD Meknes30991224:3336
11Renaissance Zemamra30891328:3733
12Hassania Agadir30891327:3933
13Union Touarga306131132:4031
14Dcheira30791429:4030
15Yacoub El Mansour30791434:4430
16Olympique de Safi303131424:4222