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Stadium Background

Unionistas de Salamanca vs Leonesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Reina Sofia, Salamanca
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Gil A. In: Alcalde L.
Out: Gil A.
44'
Chatiliez W.
46'
Sub
Chatiliez W. In: de Bustos H.
Out: Chatiliez W.

AI Match Summary

Unionistas de Salamanca in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unionistas de Salamanca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Unionistas de Salamanca
15%
Draws
46%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unionistas de Salamanca lately — more wins on the board than Leonesa.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Unionistas de Salamanca taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Unionistas de Salamanca Clean Sheet 16%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unionistas de Salamanca Leonesa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.31 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Leonesa
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Unionistas de Salamanca
4:3
Sep 28, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Leonesa
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Leonesa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unionistas de Salamanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Casas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Leonesa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unionistas de Salamanca 41 / 100
Leonesa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unionistas de Salamanca Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unionistas de Salamanca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Leonesa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Unionistas de Salamanca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Unionistas de Salamanca VS Leonesa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Unionistas de Salamanca

(Home)
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
27 Sept
Mirandes
1 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
05 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 4
Real Union
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Leonesa

(Away)
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Racing Club Ferrol 7 4 1 2 8:5 13
4 Cacereno 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
6 Mirandes 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 Zamora 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
8 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
9 CD Extremadura 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
10 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Deportivo Fabril 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
13 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
14 Unionistas de Salamanca 7 2 1 4 10:13 7
15 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
16 Barakaldo 7 1 3 3 6:10 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 7 1 2 4 10:15 5
19 UD Ourense 7 1 2 4 3:10 5
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)