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Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Reina Sofia, Salamanca
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Dominguez X.
42' Event
Gomez A.
(Penalty)
45'
Ferreiro D.

AI Match Summary

Unionistas de Salamanca in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unionistas de Salamanca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Unionistas de Salamanca
30%
Draws
29%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Unionistas de Salamanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Unionistas de Salamanca have won more games recently than UD Ourense.
  • Win probability leans Unionistas de Salamanca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Unionistas de Salamanca Clean Sheet 20%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unionistas de Salamanca UD Ourense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unionistas de Salamanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morer D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unionistas de Salamanca 67 / 100
UD Ourense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unionistas de Salamanca UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unionistas de Salamanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Unionistas de Salamanca scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

UD Ourense has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Unionistas de Salamanca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unionistas de Salamanca VS UD Ourense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Unionistas de Salamanca

(Home)
10 Oct
Cacereno
1 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
27 Sept
Mirandes
1 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Barakaldo
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Racing Club Ferrol 7 4 1 2 8:5 13
4 Cacereno 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
6 Mirandes 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 Zamora 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
8 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
9 CD Extremadura 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
10 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Deportivo Fabril 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
13 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
14 Unionistas de Salamanca 7 2 1 4 10:13 7
15 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
16 Barakaldo 7 1 3 3 6:10 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 7 1 2 4 10:15 5
19 UD Ourense 7 1 2 4 3:10 5
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)