Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unipomezia vs Aquila Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Buchel M.
40' Event
Di Renzo L.
50' Event
D'Alessandris G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Unipomezia and Aquila Calcio finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unipomezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Unipomezia
35%
Draws
32%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Unipomezia haven't matched Aquila Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Unipomezia a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Unipomezia Clean Sheet 68%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unipomezia Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Unipomezia vs Aquila Calcio
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Unipomezia
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unipomezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Buchel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Alessandris G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Renzo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unipomezia 86 / 100
Aquila Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unipomezia Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unipomezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Unipomezia's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aquila Calcio has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Unipomezia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unipomezia VS Aquila Calcio
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Unipomezia

(Home)
03 May
Unipomezia
3 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0
Maceratese
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0
Giulianova
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Ancona
19 Apr
Ostiamare
2 : 1
Aquila Calcio
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)