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United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 Chonburi Daikin Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Muller Y.
45' Event
Malik M.
68' Event
Al-Zeyadi S. H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
United Arab Emirates U20
20%
Draws
57%
Iraq U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraq U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iraq U20 come out ahead of United Arab Emirates U20 on wins alone.
  • Iraq U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Iraq U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U20, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Iraq U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
United Arab Emirates U20 Clean Sheet 27%
Iraq U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U20 Iraq U20
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 WAFF Championship U20
Iraq U20 vs United Arab Emirates U20
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
0:2
Jan 7, 2026 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
0:1
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Iraq U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al-Zeyadi S. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U20 25 / 100
Iraq U20 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U20 Iraq U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United Arab Emirates U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Iraq U20 conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

United Arab Emirates U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates U20 VS Iraq U20
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

United Arab Emirates U20

(Home)
06 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
3 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Thailand U20
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
24 Aug
Kuwait U20
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
21 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 6

Iraq U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Iraq U20
3 : 1
Thailand U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Iraq U20
1 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Lebanon U20 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Philippines U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Syria U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Palestine U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Vietnam U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bahrain U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Oman U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Cambodia U20 3 1 0 2 2:14 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Malaysia U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Australia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Laos U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mongolia U20 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Guam U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Nepal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Singapore U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bhutan U20 3 1 0 2 9:5 3
4 Macau U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Maldives U20 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)