Sport Picks

Stadium Background

United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20

World World

Friendly International 2024 Fujairah Club Stadium, Fujairah
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Salami H.
48' Event
Al Mansouri M.

AI Match Summary

United Arab Emirates U20 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored United Arab Emirates U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
United Arab Emirates U20
6%
Draws
90%
Lebanon U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lebanon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to United Arab Emirates U20 lately — more wins on the board than Lebanon U20.
  • Model gives Lebanon U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • United Arab Emirates U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
United Arab Emirates U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U20 Lebanon U20
Matches Played 27 23
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20
3:2
Jan 24, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mansouri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lebanon U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U20 10 / 100
Lebanon U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U20 Lebanon U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U20 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

United Arab Emirates U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

United Arab Emirates U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates U20 VS Lebanon U20
2 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

United Arab Emirates U20

(Home)
08 Feb
Qatar U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
05 Feb
Qatar U20
3 : 1
United Arab Emirates U20
10 Jan
United Arab Emirates U20
0 : 2
Iraq U20
07 Jan
United Arab Emirates U20
0 : 1
Iraq U20
25 Mar
Egypt U20
5 : 1
United Arab Emirates U20
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Lebanon U20

(Away)
05 Jul
Lebanon U20
2 : 1
Syria U20
03 Jul
Lebanon U20
0 : 0
Syria U20
29 Sept
South Korea U20
2 : 1
Lebanon U20
27 Sept
Lebanon U20
8 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U20
25 Sept
Lebanon U20
0 : 3
Kuwait U20
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