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United Arab Emirates vs Bahrain

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Luan Pereira

AI Match Summary

United Arab Emirates in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored United Arab Emirates.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
United Arab Emirates
15%
Draws
39%
Bahrain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United Arab Emirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates have won more games recently than Bahrain.
  • Model gives United Arab Emirates a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates Bahrain
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.56 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates vs Bahrain
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 World Championship
United Arab Emirates vs Bahrain
1:1
Nov 21, 2023 World Championship
Bahrain vs United Arab Emirates
0:2
Jan 7, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Bahrain vs United Arab Emirates
2:1
Nov 16, 2020 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates vs Bahrain
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Pereira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bahrain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates 77 / 100
Bahrain 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates Bahrain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: United Arab Emirates scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Bahrain has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

United Arab Emirates has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates VS Bahrain
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

United Arab Emirates

(Home)
15 Dec
Morocco
3 : 0
United Arab Emirates
12 Dec
Algeria
1 : 2
United Arab Emirates
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1
Kuwait
06 Dec
United Arab Emirates
1 : 1
Egypt
03 Dec
Jordan
2 : 1
United Arab Emirates
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Bahrain

(Away)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
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