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United Arab Emirates vs Yemen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gimenez N.
Assist: Conceicao de Oliveira B.
36' Event
Sahal N.
Own Goal
45' Event
Luan Pereira
Assist: Zouhir A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
United Arab Emirates
15%
Draws
40%
Yemen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United Arab Emirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates have won more games recently than Yemen.
  • Model gives United Arab Emirates a 45% chance of winning this.
  • United Arab Emirates have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor United Arab Emirates, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors United Arab Emirates here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 68%
Yemen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates Yemen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Arabian Gulf Cup
United Arab Emirates vs Yemen
4:0
Mar 26, 2024 World Championship
Yemen vs United Arab Emirates
0:3
Mar 21, 2024 World Championship
United Arab Emirates vs Yemen
2:1
Nov 26, 2019 Arabian Gulf Cup
United Arab Emirates vs Yemen
3:0
Nov 20, 2018 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates vs Yemen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Pereira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Yemen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates 86 / 100
Yemen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates Yemen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: United Arab Emirates scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Yemen let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: United Arab Emirates stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates VS Yemen
1 Goals Scored 2.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

United Arab Emirates

(Home)
06 Oct
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
United Arab Emirates
03 Oct
United Arab Emirates
1 : 0
Oman
30 Sept
United Arab Emirates
1 : 1
Qatar
27 Sept
Bahrain
0 : 3
United Arab Emirates
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
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Yemen

(Away)
30 Sept
Bahrain
2 : 5
Yemen
27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1
Qatar
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
18 Sept
Kuwait
1 : 2
Yemen
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Oman 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Iraq 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Kuwait 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Qatar 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Yemen 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Bahrain 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup (Play Offs)