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United FC vs Jong Aruba

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United FC play Jong Aruba in the Division di Honor 2024/2025. United FC are favorites here. Recently, United FC averaged 3.76 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Jong Aruba averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, United FC won 1, Jong Aruba won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 26, 2025 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.88 for United FC and 1.73 for Jong Aruba. This points to a United FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
United FC
15%
Draws
28%
Jong Aruba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • United FC picked up more points recently compared to Jong Aruba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.88 vs 1.73 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
United FC Clean Sheet 12%
Jong Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United FC Jong Aruba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 3.76 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 5.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2025 Division di Honor
United FC vs Jong Aruba
5:3
Nov 23, 2024 Division di Honor
United FC vs Jong Aruba
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United FC 54 / 100
Jong Aruba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United FC Jong Aruba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick United FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

United FC attacking → ← attacking Jong Aruba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United FC scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Jong Aruba let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

United FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jong Aruba lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 33
5.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75