Sport Picks
United of Manchester vs AFC Emley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division Broadhurst Park, Manchester 
Match Events
45'
45'
Rinor E.
59'
59'
Le Fondre A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United of Manchester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- United of Manchester have won more games recently than AFC Emley.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on United of Manchester taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Emley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United of Manchester | AFC Emley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs AFC Emley
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United of Manchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Le Fondre A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
AFC Emley Compare
Top Goalscorer Rinor E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United of Manchester 85 / 100
AFC Emley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United of Manchester AFC Emley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick United of Manchester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AFC Emley conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
AFC Emley's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
United of Manchester scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
United of Manchester VS AFC Emley
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
United of Manchester
(Home) 10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2 United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3 United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0 United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Aug
United of Manchester
3 : 4 Avro
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
15 Aug
United of Manchester
0 : 3 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
AFC Emley
(Away) 10 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 2 Gainsborough
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1 AFC Emley
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
26 Sept
Bootle
5 : 0 AFC Emley
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1 AFC Emley
26 Sept
Bootle
5 : 0 AFC Emley
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0 AFC Emley
09 Sept
Bishop Auckland
0 : 2 AFC Emley
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2 AFC Emley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 31:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34:23 | 25 |
| 5 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:26 | 20 |
| 11 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 12 | Alfreton | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:33 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:25 | 11 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16:32 | 10 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8:34 | 7 |
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