Sport Picks
United of Manchester vs Gainsborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division Broadhurst Park, Manchester 
Match Events
11'
11'
Preston F.
39'
39'
Williams T.
50'
50'
Buckley J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between United of Manchester and Gainsborough finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gainsborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainsborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gainsborough have managed 1.54 goals a game lately — United of Manchester are scoring more at 1.76.
- 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 13%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United of Manchester | Gainsborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Gainsborough
0:3
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Gainsborough
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs United of Manchester
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs United of Manchester
0:1
Jan 14, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Gainsborough
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United of Manchester Compare
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Gainsborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Preston F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United of Manchester 35 / 100
Gainsborough 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United of Manchester Gainsborough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gainsborough conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
United of Manchester scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: United of Manchester stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
United of Manchester VS Gainsborough
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
United of Manchester
(Home) 10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2 United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3 United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0 United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Aug
United of Manchester
3 : 4 Avro
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
15 Aug
United of Manchester
0 : 3 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
Gainsborough
(Away) 10 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 2 Gainsborough
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3 Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 2 Gainsborough
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:7 | 30 |
| 2 | Redcar Athletic | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 33:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Curzon Ashton | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Workington | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 21 |
| 7 | Warrington Rylands | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:26 | 17 |
| 13 | Hyde | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Quorn | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | 13 |
| 16 | Whitby | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:32 | 13 |
| 17 | Stockton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16:31 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:31 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 6 |
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