Sport Picks

Stadium Background

United of Manchester vs Warrington Rylands

England England

NPL Premier Division Broadhurst Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United of Manchester play Warrington Rylands in the NPL Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, United of Manchester averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Warrington Rylands averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, United of Manchester won 1, Warrington Rylands won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 28, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for United of Manchester and 1.56 for Warrington Rylands. This points to a Warrington Rylands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
United of Manchester
28%
Draws
36%
Warrington Rylands
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Warrington Rylands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • United of Manchester picked up more points recently compared to Warrington Rylands.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 15%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United of Manchester Warrington Rylands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Warrington Rylands
2:3
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs United of Manchester
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Warrington Rylands
0:1
Jan 7, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Warrington Rylands
2:2
Sep 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs United of Manchester
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United of Manchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Palinkas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hardcastle B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United of Manchester 35 / 100
Warrington Rylands 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United of Manchester Warrington Rylands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Warrington Rylands or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

United of Manchester attacking → ← attacking Warrington Rylands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United of Manchester scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Warrington Rylands let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

United of Manchester went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Warrington Rylands lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 46
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00