Sport Picks
United of Manchester vs Warrington Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division Broadhurst Park, Manchester 
Match Events
39'
39'
Le Fondre A.
49'
49'
Grivosti M.
51'
51'
Edwards C.
AI Match Summary
United of Manchester in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored United of Manchester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: United of Manchester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to United of Manchester lately — more wins on the board than Warrington Town.
- Win probability leans United of Manchester's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 12%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United of Manchester | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Warrington Town
4:1
Jan 17, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Warrington Town
2:2
Nov 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs United of Manchester
3:0
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
United of Manchester vs Warrington Town
2:1
Jan 28, 2023 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Warrington Town
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United of Manchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Le Fondre A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grivosti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United of Manchester 47 / 100
Warrington Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United of Manchester Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick United of Manchester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Warrington Town conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
United of Manchester's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: United of Manchester stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
United of Manchester VS Warrington Town
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
United of Manchester
(Home) 10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2 United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3 United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0 United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Aug
United of Manchester
3 : 4 Avro
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
15 Aug
United of Manchester
0 : 3 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Town
(Away) 10 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Lancaster
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0 Warrington Town
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0 South Liverpool
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0 Warrington Town
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:7 | 30 |
| 2 | Redcar Athletic | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 33:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Curzon Ashton | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Workington | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 21 |
| 7 | Warrington Rylands | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:26 | 17 |
| 13 | Hyde | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Quorn | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | 13 |
| 16 | Whitby | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:32 | 13 |
| 17 | Stockton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16:31 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:31 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 6 |
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