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United of Manchester vs Whitby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Broadhurst Park, Manchester
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United of Manchester host Whitby in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Whitby have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while United of Manchester have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.76. Past meetings favor United of Manchester slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward United of Manchester. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
United of Manchester
30%
Draws
31%
Whitby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: United of Manchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Whitby haven't matched United of Manchester's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans United of Manchester's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 16%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United of Manchester Whitby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.76 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs United of Manchester
1:3
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Whitby
3:1
Apr 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Whitby
2:3
Aug 20, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs United of Manchester
0:0
Mar 26, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs United of Manchester
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United of Manchester 84 / 100
Whitby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United of Manchester Whitby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United of Manchester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Whitby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: United of Manchester scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

United of Manchester went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United of Manchester VS Whitby
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

United of Manchester

(Home)
13 Oct
United of Manchester
1 : 1
AFC Emley
10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2
United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3
United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0
United of Manchester
Page 1 of 6

Whitby

(Away)
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2
Whitby
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0
Bamber Bridge
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
26 Sept
Bridlington Town
3 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
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