Sport Picks
United of Manchester vs Workington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division Broadhurst Park, Manchester 
Match Events
20'
20'
Le Fondre A.
Penalty Missed
81'
81'
Hunter L.
89'
89'
Hopper D.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between United of Manchester and Workington finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Workington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Workington come out ahead of United of Manchester on wins alone.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 12%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United of Manchester | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Workington
1:2
Jan 13, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Workington
2:2
Oct 7, 2025 FA Trophy
Workington vs United of Manchester
0:2
Sep 9, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs United of Manchester
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs United of Manchester
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United of Manchester Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Workington Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunter L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hopper D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United of Manchester 29 / 100
Workington 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United of Manchester Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick United of Manchester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: United of Manchester scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Workington let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
United of Manchester went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
United of Manchester VS Workington
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
United of Manchester
(Home) 10 Oct
Stockton
2 : 2 United of Manchester
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3 United of Manchester
26 Sept
Hyde
2 : 0 United of Manchester
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Ossett United
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Aug
United of Manchester
3 : 4 Avro
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
15 Aug
United of Manchester
0 : 3 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
Workington
(Away) 10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Quorn
3 : 0 Workington
06 Oct
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Workington
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:7 | 30 |
| 2 | Redcar Athletic | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 33:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Curzon Ashton | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Workington | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 21 |
| 7 | Warrington Rylands | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:26 | 17 |
| 13 | Hyde | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 13 |
| 15 | Quorn | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | 13 |
| 16 | Whitby | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:32 | 13 |
| 17 | Stockton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16:31 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:31 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 6 |
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