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United Riccione vs Fano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Padovani E.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Matteuci D.
49' Event
Samb F.

AI Match Summary

United Riccione in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored United Riccione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
United Riccione
6%
Draws
90%
Fano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to United Riccione lately — more wins on the board than Fano.
  • Win probability leans Fano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
United Riccione Clean Sheet 10%
Fano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Riccione Fano
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group F
United Riccione vs Fano
3:1
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs United Riccione
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Riccione Compare

Top Goalscorer Samb F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matteuci D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Fano Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Riccione 10 / 100
Fano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Riccione Fano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

United Riccione found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (35 games).

Fano's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

United Riccione VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campobasso342010455:2970
2Aquila Calcio34208640:2268
3Avezzano34178950:3359
4Sambenedettese341513657:3658
5Roma City3414101056:3752
6Atletico Ascoli341214839:3350
7Vigor Senigallia3413101157:5049
8Calcio Chieti3412121035:3448
9Notaresco Calcio3411121137:3845
10Termoli3411101330:3643
11Fossombrone34817928:2841
12AS Sora3410111337:3741
13Real Monterotondo341251742:6041
14Tivoli Calcio341071738:5537
15United Riccione341071748:5137
16Fano346141435:4932
17Vastogirardi34781926:5129
18Matese34682020:5126