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United Riccione vs San Marino Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Muro A.
49' Event
Arcopinto A.
74' Event
Di Francesco D.

AI Match Summary

San Marino Calcio in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marino Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
United Riccione
6%
Draws
90%
San Marino Calcio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Marino Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • United Riccione haven't matched San Marino Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives San Marino Calcio a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
United Riccione Clean Sheet 27%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Riccione San Marino Calcio
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group D
United Riccione vs San Marino Calcio
0:3
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
San Marino Calcio vs United Riccione
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Riccione Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Marino Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Muro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arcopinto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Riccione 10 / 100
San Marino Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Riccione San Marino Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

United Riccione's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: San Marino Calcio registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Marino Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922