Sport Picks
United States Virgin Islands vs Barbados Prediction & H2H Stats
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 
Match Events
42'
42'
Holligan H.
Assist: Hinkson C.
45'
45'
Reid-Stephen N.
(Penalty)
47'
47'
Reid-Stephen N.
Assist: Butcher N.
AI Match Summary
Barbados in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barbados.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United States Virgin Islands
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Barbados lately — more wins on the board than United States Virgin Islands.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Barbados here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 16%
Barbados Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United States Virgin Islands | Barbados |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 2.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Barbados
0:5
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs United States Virgin Islands
3:0
Oct 15, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Barbados
0:4
Oct 13, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Nov 18, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Barbados vs United States Virgin Islands
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United States Virgin Islands Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Barbados Compare
Top Goalscorer Reid-Stephen N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Holligan H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United States Virgin Islands 30 / 100
Barbados 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United States Virgin Islands Barbados
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick United States Virgin Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barbados let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: United States Virgin Islands stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Barbados's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
United States Virgin Islands VS Barbados
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
United States Virgin Islands
(Home) 01 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5 Saint Martin
29 Sept
United States Virgin Islands
3 : 1 Bahamas
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2 United States Virgin Islands
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0 United States Virgin Islands
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2 American Samoa
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5 Saint Martin
29 Sept
United States Virgin Islands
3 : 1 Bahamas
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2 American Samoa
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1 Turks and Caicos Islands
10 Oct
United States Virgin Islands
0 : 5 Barbados
Page 1 of 3
Barbados
(Away) 28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2 Barbados
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0 Saint Lucia
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1 Barbados
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2 Barbados
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1 Barbados
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
11 May
Dominica
0 : 0 Barbados
08 May
Dominica
0 : 0 Barbados
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barbados | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Bahamas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:13 | 4 |
| 3 | United States Virgin Islands | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:14 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belize | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Anguilla | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cayman Islands | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 3 | British Virgin Islands | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams
