Sport Picks

Stadium Background

United States Virgin Islands vs Bonaire

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Cicilia A.
84' Event
Isenia C.

AI Match Summary

United States Virgin Islands host Bonaire in the CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: United States Virgin Islands at 1.5 goals for, 2.88 against; Bonaire at 0.75 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, United States Virgin Islands have won 0 to Bonaire's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2022, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.81) back Bonaire to edge this. Bonaire in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
United States Virgin Islands
28%
Draws
22%
Bonaire
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: United States Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bonaire has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to United States Virgin Islands.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for United States Virgin Islands.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 11%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands Bonaire
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs United States Virgin Islands
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Bonaire
0:2
Jun 1, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Bonaire vs United States Virgin Islands
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Cicilia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isenia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands 47 / 100
Bonaire 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands Bonaire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United States Virgin Islands scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Bonaire let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

United States Virgin Islands went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bonaire lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands VS Bonaire
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sint Maarten632119:911
2Bonaire631212:1110
3Turks and Caicos Islands630310:169
4United States Virgin Islands61145:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis43109:410
2Aruba41125:54
3Saint Martin40222:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Lucia44008:212
2Anguilla40222:52
3Dominica40222:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerto Rico440017:212
2Cayman Islands40223:102
3British Virgin Islands40223:112