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United States Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United States Virgin Islands play Cayman Islands in the CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024. Cayman Islands are favorites here. Recently, United States Virgin Islands averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. Cayman Islands averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, United States Virgin Islands won 0, Cayman Islands won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 17, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.77 for United States Virgin Islands and 1.68 for Cayman Islands. This points to a Cayman Islands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
United States Virgin Islands
17%
Draws
70%
Cayman Islands
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cayman Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cayman Islands has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to United States Virgin Islands.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Cayman Islands.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 13%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands Cayman Islands
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.86 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.86 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
2:1
Sep 7, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands
2:2
Nov 17, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Sep 5, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Cayman Islands
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer St Louis J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Cayman Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebanks J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gray C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands 14 / 100
Cayman Islands 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands Cayman Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United States Virgin Islands scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Cayman Islands let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

United States Virgin Islands went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cayman Islands lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands VS Cayman Islands
1.29 Goals Scored 0.5
2.86 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
86% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Martin440020:112
2Bonaire42026:66
3Anguilla40040:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aruba440014:412
2Cayman Islands41126:104
3United States Virgin Islands40135:111
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominica43108:210
2British Virgin Islands41217:65
3Turks and Caicos Islands40133:101