Sport Picks

Stadium Background

United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Browne J.
45' Event
Paul J.
55' Event
Farrell Q.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

United States Virgin Islands in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored United States Virgin Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
United States Virgin Islands
33%
Draws
27%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: United States Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • United States Virgin Islands haven't matched Turks and Caicos Islands's recent run of results.
  • United States Virgin Islands are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • United States Virgin Islands have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 13%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2025 Friendly International
United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs United States Virgin Islands
1:0
Jun 6, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Browne J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mills O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Paul J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands 39 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands Turks and Caicos Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turks and Caicos Islands has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Turks and Caicos Islands registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: United States Virgin Islands scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands VS Turks and Caicos Islands
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sint Maarten632119:911
2Bonaire631212:1110
3Turks and Caicos Islands630310:169
4United States Virgin Islands61145:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis43109:410
2Aruba41125:54
3Saint Martin40222:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Lucia44008:212
2Anguilla40222:52
3Dominica40222:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerto Rico440017:212
2Cayman Islands40223:102
3British Virgin Islands40223:112