Sport Picks
United States Virgin Islands W vs Saint Lucia W
North & Central America
CONCACAF Championship Women Bethlehem Soccer Stadium, Upper Bethlehem 
Match Events
10'
10'
Vialva N.
32'
32'
Frost L.
Assist: Foley M.
44'
44'
St. Louis K.
Assist: Polius K.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Championship Women game between United States Virgin Islands W and Saint Lucia W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United States Virgin Islands W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: United States Virgin Islands W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and United States Virgin Islands W come out ahead of Saint Lucia W on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on United States Virgin Islands W taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Saint Lucia W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
United States Virgin Islands W Clean Sheet 15%
Saint Lucia W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | United States Virgin Islands W | Saint Lucia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 21 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 27, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women
United States Virgin Islands W vs Saint Lucia W
3:1
Oct 2, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Saint Lucia W vs United States Virgin Islands W
4:1
Mar 12, 2010 CONCACAF Championship Women
United States Virgin Islands W vs Saint Lucia W
0:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
United States Virgin Islands W Compare
Top Goalscorer Vialva N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Frost L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Saint Lucia W Compare
Top Goalscorer St. Louis K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
United States Virgin Islands W 84 / 100
Saint Lucia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
United States Virgin Islands W Saint Lucia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saint Lucia W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 5.33 goals.
Difficult form: Saint Lucia W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
United States Virgin Islands W scored in 39% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
United States Virgin Islands W VS Saint Lucia W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
United States Virgin Islands W
(Home) 14 Apr
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
1 : 0 United States Virgin Islands W
11 Apr
Mexico W
9 : 0 United States Virgin Islands W
05 Mar
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 9 Puerto Rico W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1 Saint Lucia W
25 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
6 : 0 British Virgin Islands W
Page 1 of 7
05 Mar
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 9 Puerto Rico W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1 Saint Lucia W
25 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
6 : 0 British Virgin Islands W
24 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
8 : 0 British Virgin Islands W
21 Dec
United States Virgin Islands W
1 : 0 Saint Kitts and Nevis W
Page 1 of 4
Saint Lucia W
(Away) 18 Apr
Saint Lucia W
0 : 1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
02 Mar
Saint Lucia W
0 : 7 Mexico W
01 Dec
Puerto Rico W
7 : 0 Saint Lucia W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1 Saint Lucia W
21 Sept
Saint Lucia W
1 : 2 Barbados W
Page 1 of 6
01 Dec
Puerto Rico W
7 : 0 Saint Lucia W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1 Saint Lucia W
18 Sept
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
0 : 0 Saint Lucia W
14 Sept
Barbados W
1 : 2 Saint Lucia W
05 Dec
Cuba W
4 : 1 Saint Lucia W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 36:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:24 | 6 |
| 4 | United States Virgin Islands W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:20 | 3 |
| 5 | Saint Lucia W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:18 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamaica W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Nicaragua W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Guyana W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:13 | 1 |
| 5 | Dominica W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:36 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Rica W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Guatemala W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Bermuda W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Grenada W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:14 | 3 |
| 5 | Cayman Islands W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:41 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Belize W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Suriname W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Anguilla W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:18 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Cuba W | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Aruba W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Curacao W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:16 | 3 |
| 5 | Saint Kitts and Nevis W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Trinidad & Tobago W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Barbados W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:22 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)
