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Univ. Craiova vs Dinamo Bucuresti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Univ. Craiova at 2.17 goals for, 0.9 against; Dinamo Bucuresti at 2.03 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Univ. Craiova have won 3 to Dinamo Bucuresti's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.38, favoring Univ. Craiova. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Univ. Craiova
20%
Draws
40%
Dinamo Bucuresti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Univ. Craiova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Univ. Craiova have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Univ. Craiova, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 17%
Dinamo Bucuresti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. Craiova Dinamo Bucuresti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.17 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Superliga
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Univ. Craiova
5:1
May 3, 2026 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs Dinamo Bucuresti
2:1
Apr 23, 2026 Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Univ. Craiova
1:2
Mar 19, 2026 Superliga
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Univ. Craiova
0:1
Feb 9, 2026 Superliga
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Univ. Craiova
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. Craiova 31 / 100
Dinamo Bucuresti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. Craiova Dinamo Bucuresti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Craiova found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Univ. Craiova went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Bucuresti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Univ. Craiova VS Dinamo Bucuresti
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. Craiova

(Home)
26 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 5
Univ. Craiova
22 Oct
Inter Escaldes
1 : 3
Univ. Craiova
18 Oct
Univ. Craiova
2 : 0
Farul Constanta
15 Oct
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1
Getafe
11 Oct
Miercurea Ciuc
0 : 1
Univ. Craiova
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Dinamo Bucuresti

(Away)
28 Oct
Dinamo Bucuresti
5 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
25 Oct
CFR Cluj
2 : 2
Dinamo Bucuresti
16 Oct
Dinamo Bucuresti
2 : 0
FC Botosani
09 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 2
Dinamo Bucuresti
20 Sept
Dinamo Bucuresti
4 : 0
Farul Constanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Rapid Bucuresti 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 FC Botosani 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
5 Politehnica Timisoara 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
6 Minerul Lupeni 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitatea Cluj 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Petrolul 2 1 0 1 6:1 3
3 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
4 CFR Cluj 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 2 0 0 2 2:11 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bihor 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Miercurea Ciuc 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 Campionii Arges 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
5 CSM Corona Brasov 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
6 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 2 2 0 0 9:3 6
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
5 Sporting Liesti 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
6 Chindia Targoviste 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)